GRADE 3 NATIVE DIVER AT HOLLYWOOD PARK

The 1 1/8 grade 3 Native Diver at Hollywood Park should be a well contested race today. It also could mark the comeback of Lava Man for Doug O'Neill. The following is my analysis of the race. Good luck today.

1-Mast Track. Close to the pace in his last when he gave up the lead and lost to Neko Bay. Coming off a two month layoff and the post position will have him firing out on the lead, and I don't think he can get it done in here. Asconio has done well with his horses since taking over for Frankel but going with others in here.

2-Lava Man. If he goes today, O'Neill says it is unlikely, It would be a great story after the 17 month layoff. He has been training well with a couple bullet 6 furlong works. If he is ready he can get it done in here but I think I will give him a race or two.

3-Square Eddie. At his longest distance to date. he has been overmatched sprinting in his last two. Working well but he won't get it done today.

4-Neko Bay. 3rd race off layoff should give this horse his best effort. Won going a mile his first back. He pressed the pace and then gave way in the mile.Breeders Cup dirt mile. Should be in the mix today. Sherrifs is .38 in graded stakes races.

5-High Court Drama. 8-1 morning line, but probably will be bet down in half (at least). Impressive win off layoff at this distance and experience on polytrack where he runs well. Good post position will allow him to sit off pace and over take the pacesetters. Baze and O'Neill are .23 win percentage together. Horse also carries the lightest weight in the field today and his lightest weight yet by 7 pounds. The pick.

6-Tres Borrachos. Has been facing grade 1 company lately. Ran well on turf at this distance in last where he gave up the lead in the stretch. Likes the Hollywood Park surface and should be there in this one to hit the board.

This should shape up to be a very contentious race today. I see High Court Drama sitting off the pace set by Mast Track and then overtaking them down the stretch. Neko Bay will also be charging along with Tres Borrachos. Hopefully this is helpful to you and god luck today.

5-4-6